Friday, February 1, 2008
Barack Obama, Making His Move...
Here are the latest results from the Gallop poll. Poll Daily tracking shows Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama as close as they have been since the polling program started at the beginning of 2008. Forty-four percent of Democratic voters nationwide support Clinton, while 41% support Obama, within the poll's three-point margin of error. The data suggest that Obama has gained slightly more -- at least initially -- from John Edwards' departure from the race. In the final tracking data including Edwards in all three days' interviewing (Jan. 27-29 data), Clinton had 42%, Obama 36%, and Edwards 12%. Since then, Clinton's support has increased two points and Obama's five. Tomorrow's release will be the first pure post-Edwards three-day rolling average.
Edwards Voters on the Move...
The Edwards vote appears to be shifting to Obama. In Tennessee, Hillary is at 36% but Barack is up from 20% to 31%...see poll. More insight from Sean Braisted
This is interesting, as it appears to show that nearly all of the former Edwards support has shifted over to Barack Obama. While the anecdotal evidence I've seen seemed to bear this out, I'm quite surprised to see it occurring across the State of Tennessee. This may show that Hillary Clinton has a limited appeal in Tennessee, and with Edwards out of the picture, more people are willing to give Obama a shot at their support.The same dynamic appears at work in New Jersey, where her 17 point lead has collapsed to a mere six in ten days.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)