Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Racial Attitudes: Kentucky and Oregon Comparison


Kentucky:
About one in five whites said race played a role in choosing a candidate Tuesday _ on par with results in several other Southern states. Nine in 10 of that group backed Clinton _ the highest proportion yet among the 28 states where that question has been asked in exit polls.

Only three in 10 whites who said race was a factor said they would vote for Obama should he oppose McCain in November. Nearly four in 10 said they would back McCain, while the rest said they wouldn't vote.

Oregon:
...only one in 10 voters in Oregon said the race of the candidates was important, one of the lowest proportions in primary states this year. They were evenly divided between the two Democrats, but heavily backed Obama when he was pitted against McCain.

Russert: What the Results Mean...

Magic Numbers

With just 86 pledged delegates up for grabs in Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota, and 212 remaining undeclared superdelegates, Obama just needs about 20-25 superdelegate endorsements to hit the magic 2,026 number to claim the Democratic nomination, assuming he just splits the remaining 86 in half. But it’s quite likely that the magic number is going to change, because it appears that the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee has every intention of coming up with some sort of Florida/Michigan compromise. The one number we know it won’t be is 2,210 -- the number the Clinton campaign keeps using, because there seems to be little appetite among DNC types (still angry at the calendar mess those two states created) from seating the delegations in full. That means some sort of cut. The most likely magic numbers would be 2,131 or 2,118, which would cut the two delegations in half, either keeping the supers fully in tact (the former number) or cutting them in half, too (the latter). And so if you have those new magic numbers, then Obama needs approximately 50 new superdelegate endorsements to take enough delegates off the table that there is no mathematical possibility for Clinton to secure enough delegates to win the nomination without somehow convincing Obama pledged delegates and/or supers to switch.

Sunday, May 18, 2008

McCain's Visit to SNL

Obama + PDX = 75,000

(Q) Some 75,000 people flocked to Portland’s waterfront Sunday to watch Barack Obama speak, making it the biggest rally the campaign has held to date. Thousands stood on the lawn, dozens watched from boats and from the bridge stretching across the Willamette River. A few kayakers held their paddles and tried to keep their kayaks straight as they watched the candidate, who stood on a makeshift platform. Bounce 2 First Read
Andrew Sullivan: I ask again: who else can do this? In any party? Anywhere?

The Real McCain/Rubin Interview

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Friday, May 16, 2008

Obama Responds to Bush and McCain Foreign Policy Attacks

4 National GDPs as US Regions

Today, we see GDP of the top four national economies in the world (after the US), expressed as US regions by GSP.
Courtesy World Bank Look at Countries GDP as US States.

Chip Off Old Block

No one -- let alone a 36-year-old -- hits .400 anymore. Not in this era of specialization. Then again, we're talking about a 36-year-old named Larry who calls himself Chipper. So ... enjoy the ride! Bounce 2 ESPN

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Johnny "Come Lately" Edwards

(Q) Just when Hillary Clinton had the news cycle in her favor after her victory in West Virginia, along comes Johnny!
Former Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards threw his support behind Illinois Sen. Barack Obama on Wednesday, urging the party to unite to send a Democrat to the White House.

Standing alongside Obama at a rally in Grand Rapids, Mich., Edwards said poor Americans have been shut out of the health care and education systems. Obama, he said, would tear down the walls that divide the rich and poor with universal health care and educational opportunities for impoverished students.

"There is one man who knows this is the time for bold leadership ... and that man is Barack Obama," said Edwards, a former North Carolina senator.

Hillary as the Dead Parrot

Read the article after the Bounce 2 Washington Post and then enjoy Monty Python.

Holy Cow!

Weighing 1.25 tons, and towering 6ft 6in at the shoulder, Chilli dwarfs most horses, is the same height as a small elephant, and could provide enough steaks to feed an army.
Despite his size, Miss Clarke described him as being “very friendly and gentle.”

The steer grazes on grass during the day and enjoys the occasional swede as a treat. A farmer abandoned him and his twin sister Jubilee on the sanctuary's doorstep in September 1999, when he was six days old. The sanctuary named him Chilli because it already had a cow called Chutney.

He would normally have been on a farm and slaughtered for meat at an early age. But because he has been in a sanctuary he has lived to the age of nine.

Miss Clarke said: “As the years passed we noticed he was getting rather tall.

”Although he weighs over a ton he is quite lean and not as fat as some of his companions. We don't know what has made him so tall. He doesn't eat that much and Jubilee is 6ft in comparison. His feet and head are in proportion; he is just very large.”

Balancing him on a set of scales would need 16 St Bernard dogs; 12 newborn elephants; five adult gorillas; or 1.5 Smart cars. He could provide 5,510 8 oz steaks.

The sanctuary has referred Chilli's details to Guinness World Records in the hope that it might claim a record. Guinness World Records said it was researching the application.

As of November last year, the record for the tallest oxen is Fiorino, an Italian chianina ox who measured 6 ft 8 in to the withers.

The largest cow on record was an American Holstein-Durham cross named Mount Katahdin, which stood at 6 ft 2 in and had a girth measuring 13 ft. The cow died in a barn fire in 1923. Courtesy Telegraph.co.uk

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

President Reagan's Humor

A montage of President Reagan at his comedic best.

Clinton: It'd be 'terrible mistake' to pick McCain over Obama

Clinton says it would be a "grave error" if her supporters voted for McCain
Anybody who has ever voted for me or voted for Barack has much more in common in terms of what we want to see happen in our country and in the world with the other than they do with John McCain," Clinton said

Mrs. Clinton goes on to talk about the unity issue...
"I'm going to work my heart out for whoever our nominee is -- obviously I'm still hoping to be that nominee, but I'm going to do everything I can to make sure that anyone who supported me ... understands what a grave error it would be not to vote for Sen. Obama."

This has to be good news for the party elders of the Democratic Party and Barack Obama.

Clinton wins West Virginia, with race a factor

(Q) Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton won a lopsided victory over Senator Barack Obama in the Tuesday primary in West Virginia, where racial considerations emerged as an unusually salient factor. Clinton drew strong support from white, working-class voters who have spurned Obama in recent contests.

The number of white Democratic voters who said that race had influenced their choices on Tuesday was among the highest recorded in voter surveys in the nomination fight. Two in 10 white West Virginia voters said race was an important factor in their votes. Read on after the Bounce 2 International Herald Tribune

McCain Backer John Hagee Apologizes to Catholics

(Q) John Hagee, the controversial evangelical pastor who endorsed John McCain, will issue a letter of apology to Catholics today for inflammatory remarks he has made, including accusing the Roman Catholic Church of supporting Adolf Hitler and calling it “The Great Whore.”

After Hagee’s endorsement of McCain, both came under fire after the spotlight was placed on other disparaging comments Hagee has made in the past. The dissection of their relationship – How did the McCain campaign court Hagee’s endorsement? Did he know about Hagee’s comments at the time? – coincided partly with the attention placed on Rev. Jeremiah Wright, the former pastor of Barack Obama.

Read more after the Bounce 2 The Wall Street Journal

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Racism Alive and Well

On the campaign trail in 2008...
Victoria Switzer, a retired social studies teacher, was on phone-bank duty one night during the Pennsylvania primary campaign. One night was all she could take: "It wasn't pretty." She made 60 calls to prospective voters in Susquehanna County, her home county, which is 98 percent white. The responses were dispiriting. One caller, Switzer remembers, said he couldn't possibly vote for Obama and concluded:
"Hang that darky from a tree!"

Documentary filmmaker Rory Kennedy, the daughter of the late Robert F. Kennedy, said she, too, came across "a lot of racism" when campaigning for Obama in Pennsylvania. One Pittsburgh union organizer told her he would not vote for Obama because he is black, and a white voter, she said, offered this frank reason for not backing Obama:
"White people look out for white people, and black people look out for black people."

Obama campaign officials say such incidents are isolated, that the experience of most volunteers and staffers has been overwhelmingly positive.

The campaign released this statement in response to questions about encounters with racism:
"After campaigning for 15 months in nearly all 50 states, Barack Obama and our entire campaign have been nothing but impressed and encouraged by the core decency, kindness, and generosity of Americans from all walks of life. The last year has only reinforced Senator Obama's view that this country is not as divided as our politics suggest."


Campaign field work can be an exercise in confronting the fears, anxieties and prejudices of voters. Veterans of the civil rights movement know what this feels like, as do those who have been involved in battles over busing, immigration or abortion. But through the Obama campaign, some young people are having their first experience joining a cause and meeting cruel reaction. Read the full article after the Bounce @ MSNBC

Obama has commanding lead in Oregon

Illinois senator leading former first lady 55-35
A bit more than a week away from Oregon’s May 20 primary, Barack Obama has amassed a nearly insurmountable lead in the Democratic presidential race, according to statewide polling conducted by Portland’s Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. for the Portland Tribune and FOX 12 News. Read more after the Bounce 2 Portland Tribune It's classic Obama country - but the margin over Clinton, even among women voters, is a useful counterpoint to West Virginia.

Obama VP Discussion

Last night on Hardball Democrats float ideas about who is Barack Obama's best running mate...interesting names bandied about by the pundits.